Estimating Credit and Profit Scoring of a Brazilian Credit Union with Logistic Regression and Machine-Learning Techniques

ID: 54470

Autoria: Daniel Abreu Vasconcellos de Paula, Rinaldo Artes, Fabio Ayres, Andrea Maria Accioly Fonseca Minardi.

Fonte: RAUSP Management Journal, v. 54, n. 3, p. 0-0, Julho-Setembro, 2019. 1 página(s).

Palavras-chave: Credit unions

Tipo de documento: Artigo (Inglês) Ver Resumo

PURPOSE - Although credit unions are nonprofit organizations, their objectives depend on the efficient management of their resources and credit risk aligned with the principles of the cooperative doctrine. This paper aims to propose the combined use of credit scoring and profit scoring to increase the effectiveness of the loan-granting process in credit unions. DESIGN/METHODOLOGY/APPROACH - This sample is composed by the data of personal loans transactions of a Brazilian credit union. FINDINGS - The analysis reveals that the use of statistical methods improves significantly the predictability of default when compared to the use of subjective techniques and the superiority of the random forests model in estimating credit scoring and profit sooring when compared to logit and ordinary least squares method (OLS) regression. The study also illustrates how both analyses can be used jointly for more effective decision-making. ORIGINALITY/VALUE - Replacing subjective analysis with objective credit analysis using deterministic models will benefit Brazilian credit unions. The credit decision will be based on the input variables and on clear criteria, turning the decision-making process impartial. The joint use of credit scoring and profit scoring allows granting credit for the clients with the highest potential to pay debt obligation and, at the same time, to certify that the transaction profitability meets the goals of the organization: to be sustainable and to provide loans and investment opportunities at attractive rates to members.

The Peer-Review Process: Doing Good and Doing Well

ID: 54475

Autoria: Maria Sylvia Macchione Saes, Flavio Hourneaux Junior.

Fonte: RAUSP Management Journal, v. 54, n. 3, p. 250-252, Julho-Setembro, 2019. 3 página(s).

Palavras-chave: Critical services , Defense , Hybrids , Prisons , Public-private partnerships

Tipo de documento: Editorial (Inglês) Ver Resumo

PURPOSE – Building on the literature of hybrids in the context of public organizations, this paper aims to discuss under which conditions hybrids can adequately provide “critical services”, a subset of public services characterized by their simultaneous exposure to externalities, socio-economic cohesion and legitimacy concerns. DESIGN/METHODOLOGY/APPROACH – The authors collect indications from two stylized examples, prisons and defense, to develop propositions as a step toward assessing the potential role of hybrids as alternatives to direct public provision or full privatization in the delivery of critical services. FINDINGS – This paper examines the conditions under which hybrid arrangements outperform the polar cases of public bureaus and full privatization in the delivery of a specific subset of public goods that the authors identify as “critical services”. ORIGINALITY/VALUE – The authors suggest that there might be comparative advantages in relying on hybrid arrangements rather than the usual solutions of fully private or fully governmental provision. However, they also submit that these advantages are conditional to the capacity of hybrids to reconcile competing interests to achieve socio-economic cohesion, to combine capabilities dispersed among partners to benefit from positive externalities and to satisfy legitimacy concerns with respect to the role of government.

Financial Indicators, Informational Environment of Emerging Markets and Stock Returns

ID: 54469

Autoria: Renata Turola Takamatsu, Luiz Paulo Lopes Fávero.

Fonte: RAUSP Management Journal, v. 54, n. 3, p. 253-268, Julho-Setembro, 2019. 16 página(s).

Palavras-chave: Emerging markets

Tipo de documento: Artigo (Inglês) Ver Resumo

It was observed that the financial variables presented signs consistent with the literature, except for the price-to-book variable and the asset change variable. The inclusion of variables related to the accounting informational environment offered evidence that the more opaque the accounting environment in the country, the lesser the ability of the profits to portray the variations of stock returns. The variable that captured the adoption of international standards was consistent with expectations, i.e. the adoption of international standards would increase the quality of accounting information, showing a positive signal. Moreover, the variable aggressiveness of the earnings was statistically significant and negative, consistent with the literature.

Conceptualizing and Qualifying Disruptive Business Models

ID: 54474

Autoria: Giovana Sordi Schiavi, Ariel Behr, Carla Bonato Marcolin.

Fonte: RAUSP Management Journal, v. 54, n. 3, p. 269-286, Julho-Setembro, 2019. 18 página(s).

Palavras-chave: Disruptive business model , Innovation , Technology

Tipo de documento: Artigo (Inglês) Ver Resumo

PURPOSE–This paper aims to elaborate a set of characteristics that conceptualize and qualify a disruptive business model. DESIGN/METHODOLOGY/APPROACH–The literature on disruptive business models will be analysed using the latent semantic analysis (LSA) technique, complemented by content analysis, to obtain a more precise qualification and conceptualization regarding disruptive business models. FINDINGS – The results found described concepts already described in the theory. However, such findings, highlighted by the LSA, bring new perspectives to the analysis of the disruptive business models, little discussed in the literature and which reveal important considerations to be made on this subject. RESEARCH LIMITATIONS/IMPLICATIONS – It should be noted, about the technique used, a limitation on the choice of the number of singular values. For this to be a problem in the open literature, the authors tried to work not just with the cost-benefit ratio given the addition of each new dimension in the analysis, as well as a criterion of saturation of the terms presented. PRACTICAL IMPLICATIONS –The presentation of this set of characteristics can be used as a validation tool to identify if a business is or is not a disruptive business model by managers. ORIGINALITY/VALUE – The originality of this paper is the achievement of a consolidated set of characteristics that conceptualize and qualify the disruptive business models by conducting an in-depth analysis of the literature on disruptive business models through the LSA technique, considering the difficulty of obtaining precise concepts on this subject in the literature.

Adoption of Health Information Technology in the Mobile Emergency Care Service

ID: 54472

Autoria: Jonatas Wendland, Guilherme Lerch Lunardi, Décio Bittencourt Dolci.

Fonte: RAUSP Management Journal, v. 54, n. 3, p. 287-304, Julho-Setembro, 2019. 18 página(s).

Tipo de documento: Artigo (Inglês) Ver Resumo

PURPOSE – Health is at the center of society concerns, being characterized by the dilemma of contributing to the population well-being, while demanding high financial investments at the same time. In this sense, information technology (IT) becomes essential for the progress of the sector, directly impacting on how care practices are performed. This study aims to analyze the adoption of mobile devices in the mobile emergency care service (MECS) of the state of Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil. DESIGN/METHODOLOGY/APPROACH – The authors carried out a multi-method study with an initial qualitative exploration through a focal group, followed by a survey. Potential determinants and impacts of mobile device use on the work context of the MECS teams were identified. Following, we tested the proposed conceptual model applying a questionnaire to 350 professionals from a total of 160 bases throughout the State. Partial least squares structural equation modelling was used to test the hypotheses herein. FINDINGS – The authors found that Satisfaction with the Use of Mobile PHC (PHC – Primary Health Care)is determined by the application compatibility with MECS work, followed by the performance expectancy with the use of the technology and the technical support provided to the users–acting as important facilitators of this process; while the technological complexity inherent in the use of the technology appears as the main barrier to the success of this technology. Besides, the authors found that both intensity of Use and Satisfaction with the Use of the technology provide different benefits to those involved (teams, patients and the organization). RESEARCH LIMITATIONS/IMPLICATIONS – As limitations of the study, the authors point out to the fact that the data are from a single Brazilian State, and therefore, its results cannot be generalized. Another limitation is that the study considered only the use of a specific mobile technology, which requires caution when using this information in contexts where the health information technology is different, besides the fact that the findings may not be compatible in environments where IT adoption is voluntary. PRACTICAL IMPLICATIONS – The study can help managers of public and private organizations in the planning and implementation of different technologies, whether mobile or applied to the health context, as well as in the expansion of their use in their respective institutions. SOCIAL IMPLICATIONS – The research contributes to other studies that realize that the adoption of IT can cause relevant changes to health being associated to productivity gains and improvement of the quality of service provided to society through different forms and solutions. ORIGINALITY/VALUE – The adoption and use of IT–such as mobile devices–impacts on how care practices are performed in the MECS, providing different benefits to those involved (teams, patients and the organization)

Operational Competencies and Relational Resources: A Multiple Case Study

ID: 54471

Autoria: Fernando Nascimento Zatta, Elmo Tambosi Filho, Fernando Celso de Campos, Rodrigo Randow Freitas.

Fonte: RAUSP Management Journal, v. 54, n. 3, p. 305-320, Julho-Setembro, 2019. 16 página(s).

Palavras-chave: Collaborative relationship , Operational competencies , Operations management , Relational view , Resource-based view , Supply chain

Tipo de documento: Artigo (Inglês) Ver Resumo

PURPOSE – The purpose of this study was to use relational vision as a theoretical support for an investigation of how operational competencies are developed from the interaction of shared relational resources in the supply chain and to verify how these competencies allow the resources to be able to function, unity, integration and direction. DESIGN/METHODOLOGY/APPROACH – This multihull study was based on semi-structured interviews with 13 representatives of four dyads from companies in the steel, automotive and industrial applications, pulp processing and manufacturing and application of flexible tubes. FINDINGS – The results indicate that information, knowledge and learning are significant constructs to influence the development of operational skills in the supply chain because they represent the ability of the company to promote skills to efficiently use resources and create a barrier to imitation. RESEARCH LIMITATIONS/IMPLICATIONS – There are limitations in the use of four companies from different industrial segments because it is possible to generalize the results. However, given the cross-sectional nature of the research, new studies may adopt a longitudinal approach to verify the evolution in the area of operations. Future studies may also expand the unit of analysis to understand the role of the relationship between the focus business and its strategic suppliers from the viewpoint of the suppliers. Thus, new research can be expanded to dyads, triads and business networks by investigating the various stages in the supply chain. PRACTICAL IMPLICATIONS – This study contributes to the literature and adds the dimension of relational operational skills, which is hitherto little explored in previous studies. SOCIAL IMPLICATIONS – This study contributes to the literature in the area of operations management, in collaborative relationships between buyers and sellers, focusing on the relational view of competitiveness. ORIGINALITY/VALUE – The growing importance of organizations and the role of collaboration, based on mutual benefits and grouping of skills, tend to increase the competitive benefits of companies operating in this context. The management of this type of arrangement becomes a challenge for researchers, reinforcing the originality of this study.

Managing Critical Services through Hybrid Arrangements

ID: 54476

Autoria: Sandro Cabral, Claude Ménard.

Fonte: RAUSP Management Journal, v. 54, n. 3, p. 337-356, Julho-Setembro, 2019. 20 página(s).

Palavras-chave: Critical services , Defense , Hybrids , Prisons , Public-private partnerships

Tipo de documento: Artigo (Português) Ver Resumo

PURPOSE – Building on the literature of hybrids in the context of public organizations, this paper aims to discuss under which conditions hybrids can adequately provide “critical services”, a subset of public services characterized by their simultaneous exposure to externalities, socio-economic cohesion and legitimacy concerns. DESIGN/METHODOLOGY/APPROACH – The authors collect indications from two stylized examples, prisons and defense, to develop propositions as a step toward assessing the potential role of hybrids as alternatives to direct public provision or full privatization in the delivery of critical services. FINDINGS – This paper examines the conditions under which hybrid arrangements outperform the polar cases of public bureaus and full privatization in the delivery of a specific subset of public goods that the authors identify as “critical services”. ORIGINALITY/VALUE – The authors suggest that there might be comparative advantages in relying on hybrid arrangements rather than the usual solutions of fully private or fully governmental provision. However, they also submit that these advantages are conditional to the capacity of hybrids to reconcile competing interests to achieve socio-economic cohesion, to combine capabilities dispersed among partners to benefit from positive externalities and to satisfy legitimacy concerns with respect to the role of government.

The Quest for Achieving United Nations Sustainability Development Goals (SDGs)

ID: 54473

Autoria: Luisa Huaccho Huatuco, Peter D. Ball.

Fonte: RAUSP Management Journal, v. 54, n. 3, p. 357-362, Julho-Setembro, 2019. 6 página(s).

Tipo de documento: Artigo (Inglês)